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Datebook : Lovingston : Rapunzel’s this weekend 7/20 & 21

Tommy
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Friday, July 20: Wood Man and the Amazing K bring us an evening of blues and
blues-rock. The show starts at 8pm/no cover.

Saturday, July 21: Rapunzel’s is pleased to welcome Bobby St.
Ours–otherwise known as “Holy Bear”–to our stage this Saturday night. Bobby is well-known
for his work with the Hackensaw Boys and the Virginia Jihad; he’ll be doing a
special solo show for us this weekend, and you’ll see (and hear) the energy,
vocals and song-craftmanship that have made any project Bobby lends his name
to a roaring success. The show starts at 8pm/$5.

Rapunzel’s Coffee & Books–with free wireless DSL!
www.rapunzelscoffee.com
434.263.6660

Nelson : Severe Thunderstorm threat slowly diminishing – Watch canceled @ 7:46PM EDT

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest STORM updates:

Though scattered thunderstorms are still around on radar, the threat for severe weather is diminishing across the Nelson / Wintergreen area. The air is becoming more stable. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the current thunderstorm watch canceled before much longer. Has been canceled for Nelson as of 7:46 PM EDT It will certainly be allowed to expired at 10PM.

More if anything develops.
-T-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1546
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

AREAS AFFECTED…ERN PA AND NJ SWWD INTO PARTS OF SRN VA

CONCERNING…SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543…

VALID 192227Z – 200000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543
CONTINUES.

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS MOST OF WW.

MAIN CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD/OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST ATTM…WITH A MORE STABLE AIRMASS NOW COVERING
MOST OF WW. WHILE OTHER STORMS CONTINUE W OF WW…ACROSS WRN PA AND
INTO PARTS OF WV AND KY…SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED GIVEN
PRIOR CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING OF THE AIRMASS.

ONE EXCEPTION MAY BE ACROSS SRN VA…NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
DELINEATING SRN FRINGES OF CONVECTIVELY-COOLED AIR. A FEW
STRONGER/LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING OVER SWRN PORTIONS OF WW
NEAR THIS BOUNDARY…WHERE MIXED-LAYER CAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG
PERSISTS.

Urgent: Nelson & Wintergreen : Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM : CANCELED LOCALLY

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest STORM updates:

Updated 7:46 PM EDT
The thunderstorm watch for Nelson and many areas around has been trimmed back and canceled. Counties to the south and east are still under the watch until 10PM EDT

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 543
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
746 PM EDT THU JUL 19 2007

VAC003-015-047-079-113-125-137-139-157-165-177-540-630-660-790-
820-200100-
/O.CAN.KLWX.SV.A.0543.000000T0000Z-070720T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 543 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN VIRGINIA THIS CANCELS 11 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

ALBEMARLE GREENE NELSON
ORANGE SPOTSYLVANIA

IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA

CULPEPER

IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA

MADISON PAGE RAPPAHANNOCK

IN WESTERN VIRGINIA

AUGUSTA ROCKINGHAM

IN VIRGINIA THIS CANCELS 5 INDEPENDENT CITIES

IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

CHARLOTTESVILLE CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG

IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA

CITY OF HARRISONBURG

IN WESTERN VIRGINIA

CITY OF STAUNTON CITY OF WAYNESBORO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…CHARLOTTESVILLE…CHARLOTTESVILLE…
CULPEPER…FREDERICKSBURG…GREENFIELD…HARRISONBURG…
HARRISONBURG…LURAY…MADISON…ORANGE…
SPOTSYLVANIA COURTHOUSE…STANARDSVILLE…STAUNTON…STAUNTON…
WASHINGTON…WAYNESBORO AND WAYNESBORO.

Updated: 3:21 PM EDT : I still see thunderstorm development to our west on radar, but the cloud cover here in the immediate Nelson area is helping to limit thunderstorm development currently. I am not impressed by the dynamics I see so far for the potential of severe weather. But, keeping an eye to the west to see if those storms can make it over the mountain here. Stronger storms have broken out to our south and east away from the area. Moving SE

More as it develops.
-T-

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 543
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM EDT THU JUL 19 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
NEW JERSEY
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA
NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 542…

DISCUSSION…AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE ACROSS PARTS OF VA
INTO MD WHERE STRONG STORMS ARE ADVANCING AHEAD OF BOUNDARY AHEAD OF
THE MAIN FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAIN THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.

AVIATION…A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.

County Outline area for watch:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 543
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM EDT THU JUL 19 2007

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA
BATH BOTETOURT BUCKINGHAM
CAROLINE CHESTERFIELD CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND ESSEX FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER FLUVANNA GOOCHLAND
GREENE HANOVER HENRICO
HIGHLAND KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE
KING WILLIAM LOUDOUN LOUISA
MADISON NELSON NEW KENT
NORTHUMBERLAND ORANGE PAGE
POWHATAN PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK
RICHMOND ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD WESTMORELAND

VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

ALEXANDRIA BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON
MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK RICHMOND
STAUNTON WAYNESBORO

Nelson : Severe Weather Threat increasing across area

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Update 12:20 PM EDT – Area of storms has decresed at this time, but area warrants watching. More later.
-T-

The Storm Prediction Center is watching our area for the possible issuance of a Severe Thunderstormn Watch over the next few hours. We’ll be watching the situation and update accordingly.
-T-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1536
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

AREAS AFFECTED…WV / NRN VA / MD

CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 191409Z – 191545Z

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS
MORNING AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES STORMS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER
PARTS OF SERN OH AND WRN WV ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF MORE WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVER OVER MUCH OF OH AND PA. MODIFICATION OF 12Z ILN
SOUNDING FOR CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS INVOF THESE STORMS SUGGESTS
THAT AIR MASS IS ALREADY UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.
ADDITIONAL HEATING ALONG AND S OF CLOUD SHIELD COUPLED WITH
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO SHORT WAVE TRANSLATING
EWD THROUGH OH SHOULD ENHANCE ONGOING ACTIVITY WITH STORMS
MOVING/DEVELOPING EWD INTO THE DELMARVA THIS AFTERNOON.

CURRENT CHARLESTON WV VWP AND 12Z ILN SOUNDING SHOWED MODERATELY
STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW WITH 35-40 KT OF SPEED SHEAR THROUGH
THE LOWEST 3-4 KM AGL. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS ALSO NOTICEABLY STRONG ON
THE CHARLESTON VWP…THOUGH LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A GENERAL
WEAKENING TREND THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON. AS SUCH…THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL
WITH ANY SUPERCELLS AND/OR LINE SEGMENTS THAT CAN EVOLVE.

Thursday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA : Scattered PM T-Storms

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

FOUNTAIN
Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Cleaning the fountain @ The Mark Addy
Nellysford, Virginia

With all of the hot days we’ve had recently, this seems like the perfect place to hang out, in the fountain at The Mark Addy Inn in Nellysford. Remember Jimbo, far left, he’s the man we told you about on page 34 of the current issue of NCL . In the fountain pond is Rafael Tal. He and his wife Leslie own of The Mark Addy. Rafi was out cleaning the filter in his fountain the day we grabbed this shot. If you’ve never been by there to eat or stay, check it out. Rafi is quite the chef!! You’ll want to hang out in a pond or stream today, it’s going to be a hot and muggy one again!

Wednesday was forecast to be a stormy afternoon, but after all was said and done, nothing happened. I missed this one by a country mile folks! The only thing good I can say is all of the educated professional science types in the NWS did too! A frontal boundary that’s been in the area for most of the week moved back to our north away from us, so we were left with partly cloudy skies, hot temps, but nothing to really get afternoon thunderstorms going in our immediate area.

Here’s the numbers from Wednesday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
High: 94.3 degrees @ 4:36 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
High: 77.5 degrees @ 1:44 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
High: 91.2degrees @ 4:18 PM
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map continues to show a frontal boundary to our north. As long as it’s in the area, scattered afternoon thunderstorms will be possible. Some could become strong to severe.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, shows the front very slow to move through Nelson. A Bermuda high continues to pump warm and air into our region on southwesterly winds. Over the next 36 hours the front moves through the area bringing cooler drier air for the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

The Storm Prediction Center has us on the far southern fringe of the slight risk area for severe weather later today, the green outline.

A portion of their thinking for the Ohio Valley and areas near:

DEEP SHEAR OF 30 TO 35 KT WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELLS AND POSSIBLY SOME SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES. STORMS SHOULD REDEVELOP AND INTENSIFY MOST LIKELY ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. DAMAGING WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN
THREAT…BUT THE STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO BECOME CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL.

Local forecast
*Today Partly cloudy this morning with spotty fog burning off by mid morning. Very hot & humid with Scattered thunderstorms (some possibly severe) in the afternoon across 30% of the area. Heat index around 101 this afternoon.
*High temps in Nellysford, Hickory Creek, and Cub Creek 95 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny warm and humid with scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 83 degrees.
Winds SW 5-10 MPH

*Tonight Mostly cloudy, muggy & warm with thunderstorms in the evening over 50% of the area. Patchy fog in any areas that get rain.
*Lows valley around 71 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 68.
*Winds SW-5 MPH.

*In the extended outlook

Friday Partly sunny with widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 30% of the area. Slightly cooler.
Highs around 85 valley – Mostly cloudy mountains with scattered thunderstorms
High around 78. Overnight lows generally in the upper 50’s valley and mid 50’s mountains.

The weekend looks mostly sunny and mild with afternoon highs in the low 80’s valley, mid & upper 70’s mountains. Overnight lows upper 50’s valley – low & mid 50’s mountains.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

Wednesday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA – Strong T-storms possible PM

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

TS in chopper
Photography by Paul Purpura
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Looking at Tommy looking at Paul from the helicopter
Wingina, Virginia

Paul on ground
Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Looking at Paul looking at Tommy in the helicopter
Wingina, Virginia

Now this is a rare shot. Recently when I was up in Al Stacey’s chopper shooting video over the James near Winginia, our NCL photographer, Paul Purpura, was on the ground shooting boats on the river. We made a low pass over Paul at the Wingina landing. He got this shot in the top picture of me, I got the shot of him in the lower picture. Can you say dueling cameras!

Tuesday was a pretty quiet day across the area. Some thunderstorms did pop up in the afternoon, but most of Nelson County stayed dry. Today brings the possible threat of strong possibly severe weather later in the afternoon in to the evening. Overnight a frontal boundary has moved back northward allowing moist air to spread back over our area. This combined with daytime heating may provide the necessary ingredients for strong to severe weather. NWS hazardous weather outlook references this.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY…EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA…NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA…
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS BETWEEN
2 PM AND 8 PM.

This bears watching throughout the afternoon and really comes down to if we get lots of sunshine today, this will help get the storms fired up. Keep an eye here on the web site to see the latest developments. If we get ample daytime heating things will start popping.

Here’s the numbers from Tuesday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
High: 91.0 degrees @ 4:13 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
High: 77.5 degrees @ 1:44 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
High: 89.4 degrees @ 3:43 PM
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map shows a stationary front working back to our north allowing moist air to spill back over the area. A Bermuda High located out in the Atlantic will continue to spill that warm and unstable air into Central Virginia.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, as the day wears on the air mass across Nelson will become more unstable and thunderstorms will break out.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Today Partly sunny this morning with spotty fog and isolated thunderstorms west. Scattered thunderstorms, some possibly strong to severe, in the afternoon across 40% of the area. Hot & muggy.
*High temps in Wingina, Tyro, and Piney River 93 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny warm and humid with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, some possibly strong to severe.
Highs top out around 78 degrees.
Winds SW 5-10 MPH

*Tonight Mostly cloudy, muggy & warm with thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in any areas that get rain.
*Lows valley around 71 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 70.
*Winds SW-5 MPH.

*In the extended outlook
Thursday Partly cloudy, hot and humid, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 40% of the area. Highs in the mid 90’s valley, around 88 degrees on the mountains.

Friday Partly sunny, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 30% of the area.
Highs around 85 valley – Partly cloudy mountains, Scattered afternoon thunderstorms
High around 80. Overnight lows generally in the upper 60’s valley and mountains.

The weekend looks mostly sunny and cooler with afternoon highs cooling into the 80’s valley, upper 70’s mountains. Overnight lows 60’s valley – upper 50’s mountains.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Wednesday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

Tuesday Weather : Nelson County, VA & Wintergreen : Hot w/ very isolated PM Storms

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Blue Mountain Brewery - Progress
Above, Taylor Smack, far left, (Brewer & co-owner) his wife Mandi Smack, (Marketing Director and Co-owner) & Matt Nucci, (Operations Manager and Co-owner) stand in front of the newly finished fireplace in the tasting room of Blue Mountain Brewery & Hop Farm in Afton. I am pretty sure they won’t need the fireplace anytime this week! But it’s going to be nice this winter!

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Progress @ Blue Mountain Brewery
Afton, Virginia

It was a quiet Monday morning, but as we predicted, it turned stormy in the afternoon with daytime heating. Today will be similar to Monday, but I predict the chances for severe storms are a less today than Monday as weak high pressure briefly takes over. Can’t rule out a strong storm developing, but it won’t be as organized as Monday.

Speaking of storms Monday, Taylor Smack in the picture above, far left, told me it rained like crazy in Afton right at the Nelson / Albermarle line on 151, at least an inch or two! As luck would have it, we got nothing here in Greenfield. But some of the other NCL-Weathernet Stations did pick up some precip. You’ll see the totals below. Taylor tells me, they are working hard to get Nelson’s first micro brewery open. He says to look for a frosty mug on the bar in the fall just in time for the leaves to change color …. give or take a week! Look for many more details and pictures about what’s happening at Blue Mountain Brewery in Afton in the August issue of Nelson County Life Magazine, out on stands the last week of this month!

Here’s the numbers from Monday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
High: 90.1 degrees @ 12:10 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
High: 78.8 degrees @ 1:52 PM
0.02″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards – Arrington
High: 79.0 degrees @ 4:59 PM
0.04″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery – Beech Grove at the foot of Wintergreen Mountain
High: 92.1degrees @ 1:21 PM
0.02″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
High: 90.5 degrees @ 2:03PM
0.45″ of rain

The current surface map shows a stationary front to the north, high pressure south keeping t-storms and humid conditions in the forecast, though fewer storms today than Monday. Wednesday and Thursday look to be the more interesting days right now for severe weather. More on that below.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, shows the front staying in our area, but it a bit more northern today so chances for storms less. It will still be hot, but not quite as humid as yesterday, though it’s hard to tell the difference when you’re in the lower 90’s!
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Today Partly sunny this morning, high clouds moving across the area later in the day. Hot with isolated afternoon thunderstorms across 20% of the area.
*High temps in Afton, Colleen, and Schuyler 93 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny in the morning with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Warm with afternoon isolated thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 84 degrees.
Winds W-5 MPH becoming SW in the afternoon.

*Tonight Mostly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms in the evening, ending by midnight. Patchy fog in any areas that get rain.
*Lows valley around 66 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 64.
*Winds SW-5 MPH.

*In the extended outlook
Wednesday Mostly cloudy, and much more humid with scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms.

Storms Wednesday afternoon have the chance to become severe. Some of the dynamics support an isolated tornado or two as referenced in this morning’s NWS hazardous weather outlook.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER IS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 8 PM EACH DAY.

*High around 90 valley – 76 on mountains.

Thursday Partly sunny, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms over 40% of the area.
Highs around 93 valley – Mostly cloudy mountains, Scattered afternoon thunderstorms
High around 80. Overnight lows generally in the mid to upper 60’s valley and mountains.

The remainder of the week looks partly cloudy with chances for scattered afternoon thunderstorms each day through Friday night when a cold front finally pushes through the area. Afternoon highs cooling to the mid & upper 80’s by week’s end. Next weekend still looks sunny & cooler with temps falling to the low 80’s valley / around 74 mountains.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Tuesday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

How do I find something on NCL website if it’s not showing anymore?

Tommy
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2

Lots of people have e-mailed or stopped us on the street asking how they find something if it’s not listed or at the top. Remember our site is active & constantly updated throughout the day. If we have lots of storm warnings then those posts alone can move the previous posts down quickly.

We never delete any of our site content, it’s there forever! The easiest way to look for something is by using the handy search field on the upper left hand side of the screen just under the NCL Weathernet Stations box. Simply put in a keyword for what your looking for and anything like that comes up.

Another way is by searching categories, like a specific community, or event. If you want to see what’s happening or coming up event wise, look under the datebook category. Or if you want to see anything we’re ever done about Shipman, go to that category. That’s it, that’s all there is to it! The categories box is just under the recent comments box.

Give it a spin!
-T-

Central Virginia : Severe Thunderstorm Watch including Wintergreen till 9:00 PM EDT : EXPIRED

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine for the latest updates:

Updated: 5:40 PM EDT : Severe weather threat is diminishing across Nelson County. Cooler more stable air has moved in place which will limit any severe thunderstorm development this evening. A stray thunderstorm is still possible, but most organized severe weather will be well east of Nelson. Severe Thunderstorm Watch still in effect, but wouldn’t be surprised if it is canceled in the next hour or so.
-T-

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Central Virginia including Nelson County & Wintergreen

County outline area for Central Virginia watch area:

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 523
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
200 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
523 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MARYLAND

ANNE ARUNDEL HOWARD MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES

IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND

CARROLL FREDERICK

IN NORTHERN MARYLAND

BALTIMORE HARFORD

IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND

CALVERT CHARLES ST. MARYS

IN VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 20 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

ALBEMARLE GREENE KING GEORGE
NELSON ORANGE SPOTSYLVANIA

IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA

ARLINGTON CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER LOUDOUN PRINCE WILLIAM
STAFFORD

IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA

CLARKE MADISON PAGE
RAPPAHANNOCK WARREN

IN WESTERN VIRGINIA

AUGUSTA ROCKINGHAM

IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA

JEFFERSON

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 INDEPENDENT CITY

IN NORTHERN MARYLAND

BALTIMORE CITY

IN VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 INDEPENDENT CITIES

IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

CHARLOTTESVILLE CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG

IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA

CITY OF ALEXANDRIA CITY OF FAIRFAX CITY OF FALLS CHURCH
CITY OF MANASSAS CITY OF MANASSAS PARK

IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA

CITY OF HARRISONBURG

IN WESTERN VIRGINIA

CITY OF STAUNTON CITY OF WAYNESBORO

$$

Nelson : Severe Thunderstorms to affect Tyro, Wintergreen & Lovingston – Out of area

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
254 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

VAZ036-161930-
NELSON VA-
254 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

…STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT NELSON COUNTY…

AT 254 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES WEST OF TYRO…MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

THE COMMUNITIES OF LOVINGSTON AND WINTERGREEN WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

    ut of area

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