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Datebook : Arrington : September : Nelson Methodist 2007 Harvest Festival

Tommy
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Nelson United Methodist Church 2007 Harvest Festival
Sat. Sept. 22nd 8am – 2pm
Full breakfast beginning at 8 am
Barbeque Lunch beginning at 11:30 (this sold out last year, it was soooo good! – cooked on premises)
-Entertainment
-Baked Goods/Crafts
-Local Produce and Canned Goods
-Silent Auction and White Elephant
-Kids Corner
-Firewood (call or email to order) minimum donation 70.00
-Homemade ice cream and funnel cakes
-Artisan demonstrations
-Dunking booth

For more info call 4340263-562 or email at nelsonumc@ceva.net

Event held at Nelson United Methodist Church (across from Tye River Elementary School)
5239 Thomas Nelson Highway
Arrington, VA 22922

Friday & Weekend Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine
Updated for sky cover and temps @ 12:01 PM EDT

Photography by Heidi Crandall
Nelson County Life Magazine – Copyright 2007
Hot Chickens!
Roseland, Virginia
Hot chicken

What a rock & roll day Thursday was. We had a little bit of everything. Above, Heidi Crandall of Roseland, who’s been shooting a few pics for us from time to time, sent this one in last night. In her words:

“My children asked how the chickens pant- with their beaks open!!”

Wouldn’t argue with that one a bit Heidi!

Yesterday was certainly a day for the chickens and the humans to pant. Like Wednesday, we broke 100 + in many places. We topped Wednesday’s high here at our office in Greenfield at 102! All of the NCL-Weathernet stations (except obviously Wintergreen Nature Foundation on Devil’s Knob at 3500 feet!) topped the century mark on Thursday. (see totals below) Phil D’Ambola of D’Ambolas Restaurant up the road e-mailed in to say he even topped 100 degrees there as well. Not a good day to sit on the deck Phil! Bet this weekend will be a better one though!!

Additionally, as I thought and predicted on Thursday, we saw some severe weather in the area, even a tornado warning to the east in neighboring Albemarle. Late last night up to midnight we heard thunder in many parts of Nelson with lightning lighting up the sky way late.

Today will be a day of transition as we head toward better weather for the weekend. Until the front gets clear of the area we’ll still have chances for scattered storms. Skies will be partly sunny at times. We’ll still have enough sun to make the 90’s again today.

Here are the HOT numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Thursday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton
Thurs High: 102.6 degrees @ 4:08 PM
0.04″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob
Thurs High: 87.3 degrees @ 2:15 PM
0.00″ of rain>

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove
Thurs High: 102.4 degrees @ 3:48 PM
0.00″ of rain>

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery near Hickory Creek : Faber
Thurs High: 101.5 degrees @ 4:27 PM
0.00″ of rain>

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Thurs High: 101.5 degrees @ 4:01 PM
0.18″ of rain>

The current surface map shows a frontal boundary working through the area today. Scattered thunderstorms.
Current-Sat Surface Map

On the National Forecast Map, behind the front cooler and less humid air works in for the weekend. We can’t rule out some hit & miss thunderstorms today as the front moves through, but conditions will be improving over the next 24 hours.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Friday Early morning fog. Partly sunny, slightly cooler with temps in the 90’s. Widely scattered thunderstorms across 40% of the area early before late afternoon.
*High temps in Roseland, Stoney Creek & Tyro 94 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Early morning patchy fog, then partly sunny. Milder with widely scattered thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 82 degrees.
Winds SW in the morning shifting N in the afternoon 4-6 MPH

*Friday night Partly to mostly cloudy & seasonal, early evening scattered showers or a t-storm.
*Lows valley around 63 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 60.
*Winds Light N overnight.

Over the weekend look for sunny skies and temps cooling into the upper 80’s and less humid. Overnight lows, low & mid 60’s. Slightly cooler mountains. Overnight lows at Wintergreen Mountain cooling to around 60 by Sunday night. Daytime mountain highs around 80.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Weekend!

Know your Nelson
-T-

Trial post for test purposes

Tommy
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Breaking – Schuyler : Search underway for fugitive on the Nelson / Albermarle line

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Authorities are in the process of looking for a black male in a light green or white shirt and plaid shorts in the Schuyler area of Eastern Nelson on the Albermarle line. Officers had a vehicle stopped that turned out to be stolen. There were two people in the car, one is in custody. The other ran off and remains at large as of this post.

Albemarle authorities are on the way with tracking dogs to assit in the hunt.

If you see someone fitting that description in the area, call the Nelson County Sheriff’s Department. 434-263-7050

More as it unfolds.
-T-

URGENT : Albermarle : TORNADO WARNING until 5:30 PM – Cancelled

Tommy
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BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
504 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 459 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION NEAR CISMONT…MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
COBHAM…

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM…TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS!

Nelson : Severe Weather possible this afternoon

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

The Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma has our area in the slight risk for severe weather this afternoon.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 AM CDT THU AUG 09 2007

VALID 091300Z – 101200Z

…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES…

…OH VALLEY TO MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES…
MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES ROUGHLY WEST-EAST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE DELMARVA VICINITY.
PARENT UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE MN/NORTHWEST ONTARIO BORDER EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EASTWARD TODAY…WHILE A
CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED VORTICITY MAXIMA SPREADS EASTWARD ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY…LARGELY COINCIDENT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW LEVEL
FRONTAL ZONE.

VIA LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION…LARGELY
FOCUSED ALONG/NORTH OF THE WEST-EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARY…THIS
CORRIDOR FROM EASTERN IL/INDIANA TO THE DELMARVA WILL LIKELY SEE
INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THROUGH MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON.
MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OBSERVED 12Z SOUNDINGS SAMPLE THE VERY
MOIST AIRMASS WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR…WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S F ALONG/SOUTH OF THE FRONT. A MOIST AIRMASS
ALONG WITH AMPLE INSOLATION/HEATING WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF
STRONG INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON…WITH MLCAPES VALUES ON THE ORDER
OF 2500-3000 J/KG. (This means there is lots of eneregy available in the atmosphere to fuel thunderstorms)

ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WESTERLY FLOW…ENHANCED
BY EARLY MORNING MCV ACROSS IL AND INDIANA AS SAMPLED BY 12Z LINCOLN
IL RAOB AND REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP DATA…AND POTENTIAL FOR FORWARD
PROPAGATION APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS/OCCASIONAL LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS…WITH ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL OCCURRING WITH ANY BOW-TYPE STRUCTURES THAT DEVELOP.

It’s not a definite but the situation bears watching. I’ll let you know how it shakes out as the days wears on.
-T-

Thursday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA : Continued Hot – PM Storms

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Screen Grab from Wednesday afternoon’s NCL-Weathernet
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Afton / Greenfield, Virginia
101 Temperature

There it is above! Yep 101 degrees Wednesday afternoon high here at Nelson County Life Magazine in Greenfield. Yvette noticed 100 degrees first, then 101 while I was away on the mountain at The Edge having lunch with our NCL photographer, Paul Purpura. It was even hot up there, around 86 at the time! We tied the high temperature with NCL-Tiger Fuel in Lovingston, they hit 101, and NCL-Delfosse Winery almost made it there at 100 ! Overnight lows never dropped out of the 70’s.

Today will still be a hot one, and we may briefly touch 100 again in some locations across Nelson. We have a slightly better chance for thunderstorms this afternoon as a frontal boundary drapes across NOVA. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible with all of the heat and humidity here to feed the storms that do develop. We don’t get any real relief until this weekend.

Here’s the HOT, HOT, HOT, numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Wednesday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton
Wed High: 101.8 degrees @ 3:47 PM
Heat Index of 113
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob
Wed High: 86.9 degrees @ 2:13 PM
0.00″ of rain>

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery near Hickory Creek : Faber
Wed High:100.6 degrees @ 5:02 PM
0.00″ of rain>>

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Wed High:101.8 degrees @ 4:33 PM
0.00″ of rain>>
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map continues to show high pressure dominating our weather. This will keep Thursday hot & humid again. A frontal boundary drapes across NOVA increasing our chances for afternoon thunderstorms. A severe storm is possible late in the day.
Current-Sat Surface Map

On the National Forecast Map, the humid air mass stays in place Thursday but a secondary front on Friday and Friday night will finally break the spell! Scattered thunderstorms Friday evening will be followed by cooler drier air overnight into the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Thursday Partly cloudy, hot & humid once again with temps nearing 100. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms across 20% of the area.
*High temps in Greenfield, Howardsville & Greenwood 96 to 100 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Early morning fog, then partly sunny. Hot & muggy with widely scattered afternoon t-storms.
Highs top out around 84 to 87 degrees.
Winds NE in the morning shifting SW in the afternoon 4-6 MPH

*Thursday night Partly cloudy & muggy, isolated t-storms ending.
*Lows valley around 71 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 70.
*Winds Light NW overnight.

*Friday Partly sunny, continued hot scattered PM storms.
*High temp around 95 degrees.
*On the mountains Mostly sunny & hot with an afternoon high near 80. A scattered storm possible.
Winds becoming WNW 3-5 MPH

By the weekend look for temps cooling into the upper 80’s and less humid Overnight lows, low & mid 60’s. Slightly cooler mountains. Overnight lows at Wintergreen Mountain cooling to upper 50’s by Sunday night.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

101!

Yvette Stafford
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Mercy.
101 degrees!

100 degrees!

Yvette Stafford
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Here’s the screen grab, people … we cracked 100 °F at our office this afternoon!

100 degrees

I’m sure Tommy the NCL weather guesser will have more on these triple digit readings in a later post …

-YS

Wednesday Weather : Wintergreen & Nelson County, VA : Heat Advisory!

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Cheap Gas

Cheap Gas

Have you seen how much gas has come down in the past day or so. I was driving past this sign and saw the great prices. OK, maybe I am wishing a bit. I was filing away some photos last night from my old news days in the mid-south and ran across this pic from the Bootheel of Missouri. That’s about 3 hours south of St Louis. I was there in 2002 just after a tornado and remember seeing this sign. Even in 2002 the prices weren’t that cheap! The place had been closed for some time. But I do remember them being 72 cents per gallon, even much less. Those were the days!

Did you feel muggy Tuesday. if not it’s because you were inside! The temps were in the mid and upper 90’s with dewpoints once again in the 70’s. Wintergreen Winery in Beech Grove was the hot spot with an afternoon high just shy of 100 degrees at 99 degrees just after 5PM. That’s hot! A sticky day. Wednesday will be more of the same, with another heat advisory in effect:

HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY…

FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
CENTURY MARK. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
YIELD HEAT INDEX VALUES IN EXCESS OF 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES
AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH
HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS…STAY IN AN
AIR CONDITIONED ROOM…STAY OUT OF THE SUN…AND CHECK UP ON
ELDERLY RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. NEVER LEAVE PETS OR SMALL
CHILDREN UNATTENDED IN CARS – EVEN WITH WINDOWS CRACKED. THE
INTERIOR OF THE CAR CAN SOAR TO 135 DEGREES IN A FEW MINUTES.

Today should be the worst of the week, then we’ll begin to see slow improvement wih greatly improving temps by the weekend. Even on the mountains it’s been hot for the past couple of days. Remember many folks there don’t even have A/C since they rarely need it except at times like these!

Here’s the numbers from Tuesday: As of 11:59 PM EDT Tuesday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton
Tues High: 95.4 degrees @ 4:12 PM
Dewpoint: 80.5 @ 6:37 PM = 66% humidity!
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob
Tues High: 82.8 degrees @ 2:00 PM
Dewpoint: 69.8 @ 4:00 PM = 67% humidity (as muggy on the mountain as the valley)
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain : Beech Grove
Tues High: 99.1 degrees @ 5:22 PM ***(HOT SPOT)***
Dewpoint: 76.2 @ 7:12 PM = 64%
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery near Hickory Creek : Faber
Tues High: 95.5 degrees @ 4:22 PM
Dewpoint: 77.4 @ 5:02 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Tues High: 97.0 degrees @ 4:36 PM
Dewpoint: 75.0 @ 9:44 AM
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map has a ridge of high pressure over our area for another 24-36 hours. This will allow temps to reach near 100 degrees today. Very remote chances for isolated t-storms exist.
Current-Sat Surface Map

On the National Forecast Map, the high pressure area stays in control through the day. By tonight a weak front drops in cooling thing slightly on Thursday, if you call low and mid 90’s cooler! More widespread thunderstorms enter the forecast by Friday afternoon.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Wednesday Heat advisory from 1PM until 8PM. Patchy fog & hazy in the morning then mostly sunny hot and humid with heat index of 105-108 – 20% chance of an isolated t-storm.
*High temps in Colleen, Martin’s Store & Rockfish Gap 98 to 101 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Early morning fog, then mostly sunny. Hot & muggy.
Highs top out around 88 to 91 degrees.
Winds WSW 4-6 MPH

*Wednesday night Partly cloudy & muggy, isolated t-storms ending after dark.
*Lows valley around 73-75 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 70.
*Winds SW 2-4 MPH.

*Thursday Mostly sunny and hot, but slightly cooler temps.
*High temp around 95 degrees.
*On the mountains Mostly sunny & hot with an afternoon high near 84.
Winds W & Light

Friday Partly sunny, slightly cooler highs in the lower 90’s with scattered afternoon thunderstorms @ 30%.

By the weekend look for temps cooling into the mid & upper 80’s. Overnight lows upper 60’s to around 70.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

May your Wednesday be a cool one!

Know your Nelson
-T-

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