REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Photography by Yvette Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Camp Jeep
Oak Ridge Estate : Arrington, VA

It’s official, Camp Jeep 2007 in Nelson County is underway. We spent much of the day out at Oak Ridge Estate in Arrington on Thursday. What a heck of an event! There will be tons of Camp Jeep pics and video throughout the weekend right here on our site, so check back often. You can see more picture by scrolling down or clicking here. There is even a category named Camp Jeep, so by clicking on it, you will see anything and everything Camp Jeep.

We lucked out Thursday with most areas in Nelson staying dry. Some scattered thunderstorms did fire up points west and south, but as we predicted, the intense activity stayed well west of the Blue Ridge. Friday will be another day much like Thursday where we start out with some sun, showers and storms will develop by afternoon across the area. There is a slightly better chance of seeing storms east of the BRP today and especially on Saturday. Again, the next several days will by no means be rainy events all of the time, but decent chances are there for scattered storms in the afternoons.

Here’s the numbers from our very own NCL Weathernet sites Thursday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
Wed High: 92.8 degrees @ 3:26 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
Wed High: 76.8 degrees @ 1:57 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery at the foot of Wintergreen Mountain
Wed High: N/A degrees @ 0:00 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfossee Winery & Vineyard near Hickory Creek : Faber
Thurs High: 89.2 @ 4:16 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Thurs High: 88.5 @ 4:00 PM
0.00″ of rain

The current surface map shows the old stubborn upper level low in the area. A frontal boundary begins working toward us for the weekend.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, shows low pressure moving NE of Nelson today with an advancing front. Chances for severe storms are in the forecast over the weekend. It is mentioned in the hazardous weather outlook by the NWS:

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS WEEKEND…
WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A FEW
OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Friday Partly cloudy this morning with scattered thunderstorms across 40% of the area. The hot & muggies! Best chances for showers and storms between noon and 9PM.
*High temps Camp Jeep, Arrington @ Oak Ridge Estate, Rockfish Gap, and Nellysford near 90 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly cloudy early, patchy fog early, scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs top out around 76 degrees.
Winds S 5-10 MPH

*Friday night Mostly cloudy with scattered showers & thunderstorms before midnight. Showers after midnight. Rain chances 40%.
*Lows valley around 66 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low near 60.
*Winds SW 10-15 MPH.

*Saturday Partly sunny with scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon across 40% of the area. Some sun from time to time. A possible isolated severe storm.
*High again near 90 degrees.
*On the mountains Mostly cloudy scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 75 degrees.
Winds S 10-15 MPH

Sunday Scattered thunderstorms, mostly cloudy. Temps are generally in the low 80’s for daytime highs and overnight lows in mid & upper 60’s. Mountain temps slightly cooler.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Friday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Photography by Christina Kline
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Sunset on Plank Road
Nelson County, VA

Christina Kline, our Nelson Outdoors writer, caught this nice sunset at the intersection of Rockfish Gap & Plank Rd. We did manage to see some peeks of sunshine on Wednesday, but most of the day was overcast. For the most part rainfall was in the morning not the afternoon hours. There were some very heavy downpours on the other side of the mountain in Waynesboro, but not much here.

Today is the opening day for Camp Jeep so look for lots of Jeeps to stream in over the next several days as the events goes for 3 days. The weather will be mild, but chances for showers and thunderstorms will loom through the weekend. It won’t be an all day rain event, but scattered at almost anytime across the area. We really don’t have anything to get us cleared out for about a week. By next Wednesday we will see a system swing through to make the clouds clear.

Thursday will start out mostly sunny except for patchy fog, but as the day wears on clouds will increase with chances for afternoon thunderstorms again..We talked about a stubborn upper level low yesterday, and today it holds on. Until that low and a frontal boundary that approaches in a day or so get out of here it will continued to be more unsettled weather wise. We will see a bit more sun today, but nothing to write home over.

Here’s the numbers from Wednesday:

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
Wed High: 79.3 degrees @ 2:49 PM
0.06″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
Wed High: 67.7 degrees @ 1:45 PM
0.08″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery at the foot of Wintergreen Mountain
Wed High: 80.2 degrees @ 3:51 PM
0.08″ of rain

*NCL-Delfossee Winery & Vineyard near Hickory Creek : Faber
Wed High: N/A @ 0:00 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Wed High: 78.1 degrees @ 4:27 PM
0.17″ of rain

Bent Creek in far SE Nelson had 2.4 inches of rain – by far the most. You can see their totals and others from the Nelson Rain and Flood Gauge site by clicking here.

The current surface map shows that upper level low hanging on. Scattered showers will remain in the forecast.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, shows scattered rain in the forecast for the next week. Not everyone will see showers, but some heavy downpours locally can occur as the storms that do develop won’t be moving very fast.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Thursday Partly sunny this morning with mostly cloudy skies late and scattered thunderstorms across 30% of the area. Increasingly humid. Best chances for showers and storms along the BRP and points south and east of Nellysford.
*High temps in Arrington @ Oak Ridge Estate, Rockfish Gap, and Nellysford 86 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly sunny early, foggy early, scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon especially along and west of the BRP
Highs top out around 80 degrees.
Winds S 5-10 MPH

*Thursday night Mostly cloudy with scattered showers a possible thunderstorm early at 30%. Muggy.
*Lows valley around 65 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 60.
*Winds S-5 MPH.

*Friday Mostly cloudy with lingering showers in the morning – then scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon across 40% of the area.
*High 86 degrees.
*On the mountains Mostly cloudy with AM showers then scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 74 degrees.
Winds SW 5-10 MPH

Over the weekend. Chances for afternoon thunderstorms continues in the extended period. It won’t rain all day everywhere, but showers will be scattered about over the next several days. Temps are generally in the mid 80’s for daytime highs and overnight lows and mid 60’s for lows. Mountain temps slightly cooler.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson
-T-

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Thunderstorm Anvil from Cardinal Helicopters, Inc Chopper
Al Stacey : Gaia Homes : Pilot
Nelson County, VA

The views you can get here in the mountains of Nelson County are unbelievable. The views you can get here in Nelson County when flying along at 2000 feet are even better! Above is a shot of a thunderstorm anvil off in the distance toward the Blue Ridge. Trivia, once you see a thunderstorm anvil like the one shown above, it means the storm has reached its mature stage and is actually loosing steam so to speak.Though they can still be mean for a long time after reaching a mature stage. The anvil on top is formed when winds way up in the atmosphere blow the top off of the storm forming that classic anvil look. Neat! Al Stacy of Gaia Homes in Nellysford was the pilot in his Robinson R-44 chopper. His helicopter company is Cardinal Helicopters, Inc in Charlottesville. We grabbed this shot on the was back to the landing pad. We’ll be seeing more of these typical summertime thunderheads over the coming days as a stubborn low pressure area keepos chances for scattered thunderstorms in the forecast for the next 4-6 days! More on that in a bit. Thanks Al for the view from above!

Yep it’s finally here, Camp Jeep starts Thursday, though preparations have been underway for the past month. For those of us living here we know what this means. Lots of traffic, lots of people, wheew! But this is a really great time for Jeep owners to get together and enjoy a great time! Camp Jeep runs for 3 days starting Thursday. Yep, Yvette and I will be there bringing you some of the sights and sounds from there as well. Be looking for updates over the next several days. Wish I could say the weather was going to be great, but we do have several chances for thunderstorms for near future. Though it will make some nice muddy trail runs! That is actually fun. Ever been muddin’?

Wednesday will be a mostly cloudy day. Local satellite shows a large area of cloudiness across our area thanks to an upper level low pressure area over Virginia. If you care to see it in action, when you click on thet local sat link, play the animation and you can see the counterclockwise swirl. That’s classic for a low pressure. That low pressure area will hang around for the next few days until we get something in here to push it out. A front will try toward the end of the week but it will be slow to clear out the area.

Here’s the numbers from Tuesday: As of 10AM this morning

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine – Greenfield
Tues High: 80.0 degrees @ 13:33 PM
Wed : AM Low: 61.5 degrees @ 3:03 AM
0.02″ of rain since midnight today

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation @ Devil’s Knob
Tues High: 65.8 degrees @ 10:39 AM
Wed : AM Low: 57.0 degrees @ 12:29 AM
0.04″ of rain since midnight todayNCL-Wintergreen Winery at the foot of Wintergreen Mountain
Tues High: 79.7 degrees @ 4:11 PM
Wed : AM Low: 60.6 degrees @ 12:34 AM
0.02″ of rain since midnight today

*NCL-Delfossee Winery & Vineyard near Hickory Creek : Faber
Tues High: 79.5 degrees @ 12:21 PM
Wed : AM Low: 62.4 degrees @ 3:42 AM
0.02″ of rain since midnight todayNCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston
Tues High: 79.3 degrees @ 12:17 PM
Wed : AM Low: 63.1 degrees @ 6:17 AM
0.05″ of rain since midnight today

The current surface map shows an upper level low over the area with high pressure to the north. The low wins out.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The National Forecast Map, shows little movement of the upper low for the next 48 hours keeping chances for thunderstorms and rain in the forecast.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Wednesday Mostly cloudy with showers this morning – then a break with more showers in the afternoon across 60% of the area.
*High temps in Arrington @ Oak Ridge Estate, Rockfish Gap, and Nellysford 81 degrees.
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Wintergreen, Three Ridges, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly sunny and mild with northerly breezes.
Highs top out around 74 degrees.
Winds S 5-10 MPH

*Wednesday night Mostly cloudy with scattered showers & thunderstorms at 50%
*Lows valley around 64 degrees.
*On the mountains overnight low of 63.
*Winds S 5-10 MPH.

*Thursday Partly sunny with lingering showers in the morning – then scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon across 30% of the area.
*High 86 degrees.
*On the mountains Partly sunny with AM showers then scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 80 degrees.
Winds S 5-10 MPH

Chances for afternoon thunderstorms continues for the extended period. It won’t rain all day everywhere, but showers will be scattered about over the next several days. Best chances are Thursday night through Sunday. Temps are generally in the mid 80’s for daytime highs and overnight lows and mid 60’s for lows. Mountain temps slightly cooler.

Remember when severe weather or news breaks out, come here. We’ll have all of the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Wednesday!

Know your Nelson
-T-