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Weather Bulletin : Elevated Fire Danger Expected Today

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
512 AM EDT Thu Oct 24 2024

(scroll down for areas affected as of 6:55 AM)

…ELEVATED FIRE DANGER EXPECTED TODAY…

Elevated fire conditions are expected due to dry conditions and
gusty winds. Relative humidity values around 30 percent are
expected along with sustained north westerly winds of 15 to 20
mph and gusts 25 to 30 mph. This will result in the rapid drying
of fine fuels.

Residents and visitors are urged to exercise caution if handling
open flames or equipment that creates sparks. Also, dispose of
cigarette butts, matches, and other flammable items in appropriate
containers. Keep vehicles off of dry grass and obey local burn bans.
Most dry grasses, dead leaves, and other tree litter could easily
ignite and spread fire quickly.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state`s
forestry or environmental protection website.

-District of Columbia-Garrett-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-
Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Extreme Western Allegany-
Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-
Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland-
Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Northwest Prince William-
Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-
Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
Including the cities of Washington, Mountain Lake Park, Oakland,
Grantsville, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg,
Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore,
Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt,
Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate,
Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf,
Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown,
Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Frostburg,
Cumberland, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville,
Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City,
Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft,
Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market,
Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville,
Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Orange,
Gordonsville, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville,
Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria,
Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton,
Turnbull, Hightown, Monterey, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn,
Sterling, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Haymarket, Dale City,
Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Romney, Paw Paw,
Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Moorefield, Bayard,
Mount Storm, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek,
Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, Fort Ashby, Riverton,
Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove-

Father Thyme – So Long Keith Dix Of Nellysford

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Nellysford
Nelson County, Virginia

I’m not sure Keith Dix ever raised thyme, though I am betting he did at least once. If Keith ever gave you farming advice, you took it. If he ever offered you a driveway blade, you bought it. About 10 years ago I got an old red tractor blade from Keith. I’d been looking for a used one. New ones were pretty expensive and I only needed something to scrape the driveway once a year or so. Keith heard I needed one and said something to me about having one. “How’s $100.00?,” he asked. I said, “Keith even as old as that is, it’s still worth plenty more. These things are costly.” He wouldn’t take a penny more and had it ready to load on my trailer when I got there. I still use it to this very day. That’s the kind of person Keith was. If he could help you out, he would. If he couldn’t personally, he’d find a way to make it happen.

Photo By Tommy Stafford : Bev Lacey (L-Keith’s wife) and Keith tend to plants in their hoop house at Blue Heron Farm in Nellysford, Virginia. – March 2008

For years you’ve seen me write about people that have passed on in Nelson. Now having been here for over 20 years, we’ve met so many folks and become their friends over time. You often hear me say “this one hurt” or “I really felt this one” when writing memories of someone leaving us. This one really stung. Let me tell you why.

Photo By Yvette Stafford : Keith Dix (then co-owner of Basic Necessities) looks on one mild spring morning while 5 month old Adam Stafford played on the lawn in front of the shop in Nellysford, Virginia. – March 2008

We moved to Nelson full time in early 2004. After coming to visit for several years we pulled the trigger and made the permanent move from Tennessee. As we settled in the area, first buying a house in Greenfield, and starting what was then Nelson County Life, Basic Necessities became the hub of our places to hang out. Keith and his wife Bev Lacey had bought Basics with its founder Kay Pfaltz around that time. And, so began a long stretch of memories and experiences that shaped who we are and who our children have become. Hours and months of hanging out at Basic turned into years. Keith & Bev were always there.

Photo By Tommy Stafford : Keith talking to Brad Vergin of Nelson County and others during the 15 year anniversary celebration at Basic Necessities. July 2012

They had a legit flower farm just outside of Nellysford, Blue Heron Farm. Every morning when I’d be at Basics with the kids for breakfast, I’d see Keith come in with fresh flowers from the farm. He’d sell some of what they didn’t sell to commercial operations and event planners for weddings and such. We’d always have small talk when he’d stop in. It varied from politics, to farming, to weather and more. Politically we couldn’t have been farther apart. And you know what, it never mattered. We had such in depth great discussions. It never got heated. To the contrary, we’d often laugh when trying to make our point. Or he’d sort of gently grin and say something like, “Well we’ll see how that goes for you.” It was always pleasant.

Photo By Tommy Stafford : Keith Dix and Bev Lacey on their Blue Heron Farm in Nellysford, Virginia. September 10, 2012

Keith had an affection for good bourbon. For years he’d have a small glass each evening after the day was done on the farm. Now and then Yvette and I were fortunate enough to be around for the daily ritual. It’s honestly some of my fondest early memories of Nelson.

Keith, like many of us, has a vivid past. He bought his Nelson farm property back in 2000.  He and Bev married in 2004 and moved here for good. (trivia, we share the same wedding anniversary as they do, July 10th – just a year difference – It’s also the late Earl Hamner’s birthday date. Ironic at a minimum)

After Hurricane Katrina clobbered New Orleans Keith jumped right in and started helping to rebuild homes there. He was a man of many talents. He ran crews with Habitat while in his 70s back then. Eventually they bought a second place down there and would spend much of the colder winter there after the farm was done for the season here. Keith was driving back and forth to Louisiana well into his late 80s nearing 90. He was absolutely amazing for his age. I often told Yvette, “I want to be like Keith when get that age.” It was just incredible to watch.

Photo By Tommy Stafford : Keith chats it up with Sarah Leake (R) during an anniversary celebration of Basic Necessities. Sarah was the longtime manager of Basic and continues to occasionally help out on Blue Heron Farm to this very day. Photo from July 15, 2012

There were dozens and dozens of people that knew Keith far better and longer than we did. But we luckily got to know he and Bev over these last two decades. I can’t even believe that 20 years has flown by. It really does seem like it was just yesterday.

I knew Keith was slowing day over the last year or so. I hadn’t seen him at the post office or around Nellysford lately. Time was catching up with him and he’d developed some health issues in the last year. He died just a few weeks after Peyton and I harvested the last sweet potatoes from the garden. It reminded me Keith was well known for growing lots of sweet potatoes to give to the local food bank. When I heard of his passing in September, it’s as though time had stopped. It had stopped in a way. Keith made it to 92! The absolute majority of those years he was agile and going.

Keith wasn’t the type for people to make a fuss over his passing. Yet, there were so many that wanted to gather and just remember him as a group. One of his best friends, Dan Ehrman, of Afton told me, “In those final months I’d always come by with fresh croissants from the market and we’d just have them and sit and talk for hours.” Dan told me Keith appreciated it so much and so did Dan, as Keith’s sand in the hourglass was about to run out for his friend.

The weekend of October 20th all of those people that Keith meant so much to gathered at Blue Heron Farm. The very farm he and Bev created two decades ago. We all hugged, cried, and reflected. Then, near the end, we had one final toast. You guessed it. Bourbon. Though Keith may not have wanted the fuss over his passing, I think he greatly approved of that final toast.

See you on the other side Keith and thanks for the memories, and the bourbon 😉

Here’s Keith’s complete obituary with more about his fascinating past.

Northern Lights Very Visible Across The Central Virginia Blue Ridge

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Central Virginia Blue Ridge 

Your social media timeline is no doubt full of photos from Thursday night’s Northern Lights (aurora borealis) display across the U.S. Generally people down in the southern third of so of the country have a hard time ever getting to see them, but this year has been a rare exception.

 

Photo By Yvette Stafford : The display was visible with the naked eye, but modern camera phones really helped capture the lights in all of their glory. – Roseland/Bryant – Nelson County, Virginia – October 10, 2024

Below, your photos from across the area.

Blue Ridge Parkway Reopens In Parts Of Virginia Friday Morning

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Nelson County, Virginia

As we told you in this post a few days ago, the Blue Ridge Parkway (BRP) was closed in its entirety due to damage, primarily in North Carolina from Helene.

The National Park Service announced Thursday, that portions of the BRP will open Friday morning.

This is excellent news for people and businesses along the parkway here in Nelson during the upcoming peak fall colors within the next two to three weeks!

Blue Ridge Parkway Remains Closed : Including Entirety In Virginia

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Nelson County and Central Virginia
Blue Ridge Parkway

By now most everyone knows about the destruction from Hurricane Helene in the North Carolina mountains and other parts of the region. Because of that catastrophic damage the National Park Service (NPS) has closed the entirety of the Blue Ridge Parkway. This includes all of the northern portion that goes through Amherst and Nelson County where it meets Skyline Drive. Skyline is open.

Photo By Peyton Stafford : Despite the closure of the parkway, hikers can still access trails along the AT. Reeds Gap was covered up with hikers early Saturday morning – October 5, 2024

Though the parkway itself is closed and gated off at most crossovers, you can still go over the parkway along state roads that cross, such as Reeds Gap shown above.

Map from National Park Service : As of 12 noon – Saturday -October 5, 2024 the entirety of the Blue Ridge Parkway remains closed from end to end.

“In the coming weeks, the assessment teams will utilize the data from their inspections to determine the full extent of the damage including the timeline and cost estimates for repairs. A projected reopening date of any section of the Blue Ridge Parkway in North Carolina has not yet been established. In Virginia, damage assessments and the clearing of debris from the road are nearing completion, which will for allow a phased reopening in Virginia in the coming days to weeks,” the NPS said in an October 5th update. 

To monitor updated information from the NPS about the Blue Ridge Parkway, click here.

Heavy Rains Close Schools, Washout Roads & Bring Down Trees Again

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Nelson County, Virginia

For the second time in a week heavy rains have created flooding across the area causing some schools to once again cancel classes. We told you (here) late last week about the first round.

Above are just two of several school systems that closed Monday due to the weather. Here’s a broader list of closings from WHSV in Harrisonburg.

In addition to the Route 29 being blocked (above) earlier this morning, Rockfish River Road near Rock Spring Road has washed out. There are also two sinkholes that have formed on Rockfish River Road near Laurel Springs Road. Greenfield Road in Afton was reportedly under water just before daylight Monday.

From VDOT : (Click on image to enlarge) Here’s a broader list of affected roads in Nelson County (as of 7:35 AM) Monday – September 30, 2024 You can click here to go to that site to check other parts of Virginia.

 

Numerous Flood Watches continue across the area on Monday. Click here to see a map of current watches and warnings.

The good news, after some rain lingering into Tuesday we begin to see all of this and what’s left of Helene move out of here by Tuesday night.

Wednesday looks sunny and dry as we head into the first few days of October, a welcome relief!

Tommy

Nelson : Heavy Rains & Flooding Close Schools Thursday

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Nelson County, Virginia

Heavy rain and thunderstorms moved across the area late Wednesday night and early Thursday morning. As much as 3-5 inches fell in certain parts of the county. The heavy rains on already saturated ground from the past several days caused a big mess in certain places.

Due to the hazardous road conditions Nelson County Public Schools made the decision to close for Thursday.

Part of the road is missing on Rockfish River Road just east of Rock Spring Road. Thursday – September 26, 2024
Heavy rains flooded Greenfield Road just west of Shannon Farm in Greenfield north of Nellysford. Thursday – September 26, 2024

Other parts of the county that experienced flooded roads and other issues included Gladstone and on 29 North in faber near Irish Road (Route 6 East).

More, sometimes heavy, rain is expected on Friday.

Between The Storms – A View From The Top!

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Wintergreen / Devils Knob
Nelson County, Virginia

We told you about the rounds of severe weather that moved through the area Saturday night in this post.

In spite of the trees and power lines blown down, there was a reprieve between the line of storms moving through. John Taylor up at Wintergreen on Devils Knob was able to grab this fantastic photo from up top looking down into the Rockfish Valley.

Nice to see with all of the storms we had around Saturday evening!

Severe Storms Cause Widespread Power Outages Across Area (Update 9.22.24 / 5:15 AM)

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Nelson County, Virginia

Update : 9.22.24 / 5:15 AM
Less than 100 CVEC customers were still without power.

Original post below:

Shortly before 6 o’clock Saturday night, severe storms started moving into the area from the northwest. The first round caused numerous power outages and according to Central Virginia Electric some power poles in Tyro were also broken causing a delay in power restoration.

Screengrab from CVEC : As of 8:25 PM just over 2800 people were still without power on the CVEC system Saturday night. Additional outages were underway on adjoining systems nearby. September 21, 2024.

More updates as they are available.

Not So Fast : USGS Says “Not Our Helicopters.”

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Nelson County, Virginia

Last week we mistakenly thought we’d solved the mystery of the military style helicopters flying low over Nelson and other nearby counties. Here’s a link to that post.

Today on Monday we were sent an email from the US Geological Service saying, nope that’s not our guys.

“Hi Tommy ,

About your post on Thursday: The two helicopters USGS contractors use for Earth MRI to scope out new sources of critical minerals (including deposits in mine waste), map aquifers, fault lines and radon deposits, and better understand fundamental geology – are very far away from the Blue Ridge at the moment.  When we checked Friday they were both in Idaho.  And if you look at the photo of our contractor’s helicopter in the release you linked to, it has a boom sticking out of it (to detect those deposits!), unlike the helicopter in the video.

Many thanks,

Seth

Seth Amgott
Office of Communications and Publishing
U.S. Geological Survey
Reston, VA

So just who was flying around last week? The short answer, we don’t know. We have been told everything from DEA (Drug Enforcement Administration) to military exercises. But none of those are confirmed by anyone.

We do greatly appreciate Seth with USGS setting the record straight, so the mystery continues!

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