Updated Tuesday afternoon 3:25 PM EDT 5.21.07

Here’s local radar. Look for scattered thunderstorms to slowly work through the Augusta / Western Nelson areas through the evening hours. Most people won’t see rain, but in isolated areas look for heavy downpours, and some frequent lightning. Skies wil be mostly cloudy overnight.

Good Tuesday,

It was a pretty day Monday with temps in the upper 70’s and low 80’s across the area. Here at NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine we reached a pleasant high of 82 degrees on Monday. Upon the mountain at NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation they reached an afternoon high Monday of a nice 77 degrees. To our east in Lovingston at NCL-Tiger Fuel they reached a Monday high of 82 degrees as well. Just up Route 29 in Hickory Creek in Faber, NCL-Delfosse Winery reported an afternoon high on Monday of a slightly cooler 79 degrees. Finally back SE at NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards in Arrington, Mike Patterson’s station there showed a Monday high of 82. So all in all a nice start to the week.

Today’s current surface map below continues to show that very weak cold front working it’s way south through Virginia today. The front gets stalled just to our south and as long as it’s around it does give us a slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Again, isolated much like Monday afternoon’s lone thundershower in southern Nelson County.
Current-Sat Surface Map

High pressure builds in during the day Tuesday and will pretty much control our weather through the remainder of the week. The frontal area mentioned above hangs around today slightly south and again gives us that chance for a very isolated thunderstorm. But the building high pressure gives us plenty of sun and warm temps.
Today’s Forecast Map

Today look for partly sunny skies with that chance of a scattered afternoon thunderstorm. Again, most folks won’t see rain. High temps in Tye River, Wingina, Colleen and Nellysford will be around 77 degrees, perhaps 80 in some locations. On the mountains at Montebello, along the BRP and Wintergreen, look for afternoon highs to top out around 72-75 degrees. Winds will be light SE. Tuesday night we’ll see some clouds left over from any isolated storms with lows valley in the low 50’s – mountains about 50 degrees. Winds will be south about 5 MPH.

Wednesday look for mostly sunny skies mid 70’s valley and about 70 mountains.

The rest of the week looks generally the same with highs in the mid and upper 70’s reaching low 80’s by Friday, with lows in the 50’s. The next chance for any real thundershowers looks to be Memorial Day (next Monday) For now the upcoming holiday weekend looks great with partly cloudy skies and temps Sat in the low 80’s and mid 80’s by Sunday. A perfect looking weekend so far…but remember what those extended forecasts can be…a crap shoot! I’ll examine the latest data as we get closer, we should have a much better grip on the weekend by Wednesday.

Meanwhile enjoy your Tuesday!
Tommy

Good Monday.

Wow, what a great weekend! Temperatures were great over the weekend in the 70’s Saturday and around 80 on Sunday.

Take a look at this shot Mariah Custalow took yesterday of this Japanese Maple covered in snow at Riverside Nursery in Spruce Creek. Ok, I am fooling. This was one of the last snows we had here a few weeks ago.

Compare that to the shot just below. I took this one of the same tree yesterday at Stan Driver’s place (Riverside) with plenty of sunshine and warm temps. Glad we won’t be seeing any snow for a long time! But what a beautiful tree!

On the current surface map below a very weak cold front is working it’s way south through Virginia this morning. It’s not very strong and other than some passing clouds Monday morning it won’t have much effect.
Current-Sat Surface Map

The forecast map below shows the front or what’s left stalling south of Nelson along the NC-VA border. With that boundry nearby it’s possible we could see some showers, maybe a thudershower in the afternoon hours with daytime heating, but the best shot are points south of Nelson.
Today’s Forecast Map

For Monday look for partly cloudy skies with a chance of a scattered afternoon thunderstorm. Again, this would be rare, but not out of the question. High temps in Faber, Shipman, Roseland and Piney River will be around 78 degrees, perhaps 80 if the clouds stay thinned out. On the mountains at Montebello, the BRP and Wintergreen, look for afternoon highs to top out around 67 degrees. Winds will be light NE. Monday night we’ll see some clouds passing by from time to time with overnight lows valley in the low 50’s – mountains about 50 degrees due to the clouds in place. Winds will be light and variable from the south.

Tuesday the nice weather continues with highs a little cooler in the mid 70’s valley and upper 60’s mountains. Skies will be partly cloudy with light SE winds. Tuesday night look for temps to be in the mid 50’s valley with SE winds of 5-10 MPH and mountains around 52-53 degrees.

The rest of the week looks about the same with highs generally in the mid and upper 70’s with lows in the 50’s. The next chance for any real thundershowers looks to be Saturday and that looks to be very scattered at this point and not very organized thus far.

Have a great Monday!
Tommy

Good Sunday to everyone!

What a very nice weekend so far. Sunday’s even better!

Photography by Paul Purpura
Nelson County Life Magazine

Saturday’s weather was great for folks to get out and enjoy the beautiful day. Paul caught this Mainstreet Muscle Car Show over in Waynesboro where folks were checking out the rides! Nelson’s own, Eileen O’Rourke, who lives in Pilot Mountain Hollow is the chairwoman of the promotions committee for the event. She pretty much put the whole thing together and made it happen. Cool rides!

On the current surface map below a weak trough (the hatched lines) is in the area. That provided early morning clouds and light showers, mainly west of the BRP. There is a cold front to our NW that will slowly owrk through here over the next 24 hours. Don’t look for much impact from this. Lots of high pressure is in the area that will keep us in fair weather.
Current-Sat Surface Map

On the forecast map below there’s lots of high pressure ready to take control. The cold front mentioned to our north and west that may influence our weather a bit by Monday, mainly some coulds moving by from time to time, but right now it looks very weak and lots of high pressure should make its approach a non-event.
Today’s Forecast Map

Sunday look for some clouds to linger but I think we’ll see plenty of sun as well. Temps warm nicely to around 80 valley and upper 60’s mountains. It will again be a breezy day from time to time with westerly winds at 10-15 MPH, some higher gusts.

Monday looks dry with highs around 80.

Sunday has lots going on. One you don’t want to miss is an opening reception from 3-5 PM at Spruce Creek Gallery just south of Nellysford on 151. Stan Driver of Riverside Nursery is holding a plant sale and Susan Viemeister of Garden Trade will be talking about The Art of Color in your Garden. Also look for Patricia Whitlocks 2007 Spring Paintings in the gallery while you are there. It’s all part of their Garden & Art Weekend at Spruce Creek. See you there!

Have a great Sunday!
-T-