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Weekend Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP & Nelson County, VA : Showers then clearing weekend

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Today’s Forecast Map

The National Forecast Map shows high pressure to our north losing its grip and moving out into the Atlantic Friday. An approaching cold front along with leftover moisture from Tropical Storm Humberto what was Humberto, now just an area of disturbed weather and rain, will combine to give us rain Friday into Friday night. Showers may hang around for the first part of Saturday before clearing for the weekend.

Before we get tear off into the thick of it today want to say thank you to Chuck Strauss. He sent us the nice comment below in e-mail last night saying:

From: chuck
Subject: Your wonderful periodical!
Date: September 13, 2007 8:32:43 PM EDT
To: nelsoncountylife.com
Chuck Strauss wrote:
Some weeks ago I made your home page a home page for whenever I sign on to
Firefox.

Just wanted to say that I am very favorably impressed with your service to the
community this way. Thanks!

Chuck it’s always nice to hear from folks like you that are either reading or listening to our webcast each day. You’re very welcome and we appreciate you making us your homepage.

And one final comment from one of our longtime readers and listeners, Greg Heuer:

From: gheuer
Subject: “team” podcasting too neat!
Date: September 13, 2007 12:29:59 PM EDT
To: nelsoncountylife.com
Greg Heuer wrote:
OK, this morning’s weather podcast was a fantastic lesson in proper Spanish
pronounciation, including learning the translation for the number eight! Invite
the “guest forecaster” back for future shows!

Hey Greg, I need to watch out, she’s a whole lot better looking & sounding than I am. Before long folks will be wanting her on all the time!

Thursday was another really nice day across most of Virginia. We did see some clouds streaming in from time to time in advance of an approaching system, but all in all the day was a nice one. By dark thicker clouds worked their way in. Friday expect mostly cloudy skies with showers and perhaps a thunderstorm developing in the afternoon. Showers will continue into Friday night and linger a bit Saturday morning before clearing out for the weekend. Then … look for nice fall like temperatures. By the way, fall is not far off, officially beginning on September 23rd.

We continue to monitor Tropical depression #8 now Tropical Storm Ingrid as of Thursday night, way out in the Atlantic. As of Thursday night there wasn’t much was some minor increasing change in the strength, however it still has the potential to form into a tropical storm within the next 24-48 hours Has formed into a tropical storm. Beyond that we’ll have to see. #8 Ingrid may encounter some conditions that tend to tear it down around days 3-4 …if it makes it past that without falling apart, then we may see it emerge as a hurricane. As I always say, it’s a prediction. We saw what Humberto just did in Texas, so never say never with these things.
Projected 5 day path

Speaking of Tropical Storm Humberto, he briefly became a hurricane before becoming a tropical storm once again, and now nothing more than an area of rain across the Southeast US. He continues to spread heavy, heavy rain along the gulf statesin the southeast. Though we won’t have absolute direct effects from former Humberto, some of the moisture being pulled up will make it here and combine with that approaching cold front.
Projected 5 day path

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT last night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Thurs High: 82.6° @ 4:09 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Thurs High: 69.1° @ 1:50 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Thurs High: 83.3° @ 4:30 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Thurs High: 82.0° @ 4:32 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Thurs High: 82.2° @ 5:54 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Thurs High: 78.6° @ 6:02 PM
0.00″ of rain

*Non-NCL Station @ Crozet, VA
Thurs High: 78.9° @ 3:57 PM
0.00″ of rain

Local forecast
*Friday Mostly cloudy with showers developing and increasing in the afternoon. A possible thunderstorm in the afternoon. Cool.
*High temps in Nellysford, Amherst, & Schuyler 76°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly cloudy then showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Highs top out around 70°
Winds: SSW 5-10 gusting to 15 at times

*Tonight Cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms over 60% of the area.
*Lows valley around 57°
*On the mountains overnight low near 57° as well.
*Winds: W becoming NW 5-10 MPH

Saturday Early morning showers mountains and valley then becoming partly sunny.
*Highs valley around 78°
*On the mountains around 67°
Winds: N 5-10
*Saturday night: Mostly clear & chilly – Lows generally upper 40’s valley – around 40 mountains.
Winds: N 4-8 MPH

Sunday Continued sunny & pleasant with daytime highs in the low 70’s valley – mid 60’s mountains. Overnight lows Sunday into Monday morning in the mid 40’s valley and lower 40’s mountains.

The first part of next week on Monday looks, sunny and mild with a high around 75° valley and near 70° mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Weekend!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

Nelson County: Deer Hemorrhagic Disease Likely Source of Die-Offs

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

deer pic

Richmond, VA — The Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (VDGIF) has confirmed that the cause of death of a deer in Cumberland County was Epizootic Hemorrhagic Disease. Hemorrhagic Disease (HD) is a common viral infectious disease of white-tailed deer, and outbreaks occur annually in the Southeast. Since late July, VDGIF wildlife biologists and conservation police officers have investigated reports of suspected outbreaks from Allegheny, Shenandoah, Nelson, Essex, Bedford, Scott and Hanover Counties. Currently, other states across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are experiencing HD outbreaks.

HD typically occurs in late summer and early fall. The disease poses no threat to humans or domestic pets such as dogs and cats. Biting flies, commonly known as biting gnats, transmit the viral disease. Hemorrhagic Disease cannot be spread by direct contact between infected animals. Deer that contract the disease often die rapidly. The number of deer affected by the current outbreak is variable. While it is not possible to determine the number of deer affected by the current outbreaks, some decrease in deer numbers in the affected areas of the Commonwealth may be expected.

Not all deer that contract the disease will die. Surviving deer may be emaciated or appear lame due to hoof damage. High fever due to the virus may cause deer hooves to crack, peel, or even slough off. As always, hunters should not consume deer that were obviously sick when killed.

There is no vaccine or medication to combat this deer disease. HD outbreaks will continue to occur until frost slows down the insects that carry the virus. The best defense is to maintain healthy deer herds at a population size that is suitable for the habitat.

The Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries is continuing to monitor the situation and will continue to provide technical assistance to affected landowners. Additional information about Hemorrhagic Disease can be found on the Department’s Web site:
www.dgif.virginia.gov/wildlife/diseases/hd.asp

Members of the public who observe sick or dead deer in their area and suspect HD may be the cause, should report it to a wildlife biologist at one of the following Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries regional offices: Charles City (804-829-6580); Forest (434-525-7522); Fredericksburg (540-899-4169); Marion (276-783-4860); or Verona (540-248-9360).

It is the mission of the Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries to maintain optimum populations of all species to serve the needs of the Commonwealth; to provide opportunity for all to enjoy wildlife, inland fish, boating and related outdoor recreation; and to promote safety for persons and property in connection with these outdoor activities. For more information, visit the Department web site at www.dgif.virginia.gov.

Datebook : Lovingston This weekend @ Rapunzel’s : 9-14 & 15

Tommy
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Hey Folks–Here’s this weekend’s schedule:

Friday, September 14: Open Mic Night. 8pm, open to all.

Saturday, September 15: Molimo takes the stage for an evening of
high-energy, mostly-acoustic, all-original rock music. Jim McAvoy, Kevin Crowe, Robert
Ballard, Tom Serrano and Richard Smith create an inspired, infectiously fun
sound that lifts the spirits of every audience they play for. With special guest
Moriah Harris.
The show starts at 8pm/$5.
Moriah’s website: www.myspace.com/moriahharris
Molimo’s site: www.myspace.com/molimoband

Rapunzel’s Coffee & Books–with free wireless DSL!
www.rapunzelscoffee.com
434-263-6660

Thursday Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP & Nelson County, VA : Continued Nice : Showers by Friday

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

Updated 8:30 AM EDT : Tropical storm Humberto has briefly become a hurricane for the past several hours. So much for those fancy weather computers, and they want to tell us what’s going to happen in 20 years? Anyway, it will dump lots of rain along the coast and inland as far as north Mississippi. Models then have it hooking east with no threat to VA thus far.

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Photography by Tommy Stafford
For Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Horse Ride in Afton
Afton, Virginia
Afton horses

Wednesday certainly felt like fall for part of the day! Mild temperatures and low humidities made it really nice. A great afternoon to get out and take a ride on your horse, like these two above did in Afton. Last night was fall feeling as well with many 50’s overnight and even some upper 40’s in the outlying areas. Today will be another nice day before a cold front brings in a chance for showers Friday and Friday night. By the weekend we should clear out with mild cool weather for the weekend.

A couple of things to keep an eye on tropical depression / storm wise over the next several days. First, Tropical Storm Humberto is working from the gulf into Texas and Louisiana. Right now it’s no threat to us, but as you can see from the 5 day track it has general predictions to head east. I am not very concerned about this one, but if conditions were just right it could be kicked in our direction. It’s a long shot, but we’ll keep any eye out.
Projected 5 day path

I am a bit more interested right now in what’s become Tropical Depression #8 out in the Atlantic. We’ve been watching this low pressure area over the past several days and now it’s formed into a depression. It could actually reach hurricane strength in the next 3-4 days, though many factors have to come together for that to happen. I do think it will be a tropical storm today or tonight. Long range some other things have to come into play for it to form into a hurricane with any longevity. – I’ll keep you posted.
Projected 5 day path

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT last night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Wed High: 83.8° @ 3:48 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Wed High: 72.0° @ 2:13 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Wed High: 84.7° @ 3:56 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Wed High: 84.6° @ 4:20 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Mon High: 84.6° @ 4:51 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Tues High: 83.8° @ 10:49 AM
0.00″ of rain

*Non-NCL Station @ Crozet, VA
Tues High: 79.5° @ 3:09 PM
0.00″ of rain

The National Forecast Map shows high mild high pressure in control of our weather for one more day. An approaching cold front will increase our chances for rain on Friday. After the front passes expect clearing skies for the weekend and much milder weather. Very fall like.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Thursday Mostly sunny early then partly sunny in the afternoon. Pleasant.
*High temps in Afton, Ivy, & Lovingston 79°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly sunny in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon.
Highs top out around 71°
Winds: Northerly early shifting SE 4-8 MPH

*Tonight Partly cloudy in the evening then mostly cloudy late.
*Lows valley around 60°
*On the mountains overnight low near 60° as well.
*Winds: SE 5-10 MPH

Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, perhaps a thunderstorm over 40% of the area.
*Highs valley around 78°
*On the mountains around 72°
Winds: SE 5-10
*Friday night: Scattered showers – Lows generally around 60 valley – upper 50’s mountains.
Winds: SE becoming NNW late @ 5-10 MPH

Saturday A lingering shower early morning then partly sunny, daytime highs in the upper 70’s Saturday cooling to low 70’s by Sunday in the valley – around the mid & upper 60’s on the mountains. Overnight lows in the lower 50’s valley – and upper 40’s mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Thursday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

Wednesday Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP, & Nelson County, VA : Mostly Sunny & Nice!

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Photography by Judy Serkes
For Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Morning Spider Webs
Woods Mill, Virginia
Morning Spider webs

A big thank you to Judy Serkes over at Woods Mill again. She sent us this really neat photo above of the spider webs in the morning. Kind of neat!

Those spider web caught a little rain Tuesday as it was pretty much a dreary day across Nelson County and most of Virginia. It was mild and we did begin to see some clearing by late in the evening but the clouds hung in there for most of the day. No particular area got a lot of rain, but a few areas in northern and eastern Nelson got over a half inch in the past 24 hours.

Today will be a nice one with clearing skies, lower temps, and less humidity. Cooler high pressure from the north will control our weather for the next couple of days before a reinforcing cold front moves through around Friday. After that front makes it through, the weekend looks sunny and mild with pleasant temperatures.

Still watching one area of interest below – #91- for possible tropical storm development. Again too soon to know what will happen, but we’re keeping an eye on it. It could affect the east coast of the U.S. within a week to 10 days if it holds together. Again, I have no faith in the long range predictions and you simply can’t know what it will do, but it’s held together now for several days, so we’ll see where it goes.

Invest #91 out in the Atlantic

One interesting fact I was reading by Dr. Jeff Masters on Weather Underground is that Sept 10th marks the peak of hurricane season. From here on they generally decline, however, there’s several weeks to go as it takes a long time for the seas to cool down from all of the summer heating. We can still see a humdinger of a hurricane over the next few weeks.

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT last night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Tues High: 79.3° @ 1:49 PM
0.02″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Tues High: 68.9° @ 5:44 AM
0.08″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Tues High: 79.9° @ 1:37 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Tues High: 75.9° @ 5:22 PM
0.02″ of rain (estimated)

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Mon High: 80.4° @ 11:12 AM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Tues High: 83.8° @ 10:49 AM
0.06″ of rain

*Non-NCL Station @ Crozet, VA
Tues High: 77.2° @ 10:31 AM
0.04″ of rain

The National Forecast Map shows the cold front past our area with cooler high pressure from the north spilling in. Today and Thursday will be nice with sunny skies and mild temperatures. By Friday that front moves into the area bringing a slight chance for rain before clearing for the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Wednesday Mostly sunny and mild.
*High temps in Woods Mill, Tyro, & Greenwood 83°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Mostly sunny after early morning clouds.
Highs top out around 75°
Winds: W 5-8 MPH

*Tonight Partly cloudy and cool.
*Lows valley around 50°
*On the mountains overnight low near 50° as also.
*Winds: Becoming north 5-10 MPH

Thursday Continued mostly sunny and pleasant.
*Highs valley around 83°
*On the mountains around 73°
Winds: N-5 MPH becoming SE in the afternoon
*Thursday night: Becoming mostly cloudy – Lows generally around 60 valley – upper 50’s mountains.
Winds: SE 3-5 MPH

The remainder of the week Friday looks mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or thunderstorms – afternoon valley high around 80° – light SE winds. Around 74° mountains. Overnight lows – around 60 valley & upper 50’s mountains.

Saturday Partly sunny with daytime highs in the upper 70’s cooling to low 70’s by Sunday in the valley – around the upper 60’s on the mountains. Overnight lows in the lower 50’s valley – and upper 40’s mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Wednesday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

Datebook : Lovingston : Rapunzel’s 5th Annual Songwriters Contest : October 19th

Tommy
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0

Rapunzel’s is pleased to announce that our Fifth Annual Songwriters
Contest will be held on Friday, October 19, 8pm.
Entry fee for participants: $15
Prizes:
1st: $150 plus 8 hours with Packing Shed Records recording studio
2nd: $100
3rd: $50
Judges: Anne Williams of WNRN’s Acoustic Sunrise
Bill Staton
Third Judge TBA

Rules & Regs:
–The contest is open to 30 participants, to be accepted on a first-paid,
first served basis.
–Entries and music must be original material and will be judged according to
lyrics, melody, and composition.
–Entries may be presented by another musician or band on behalf of the
songwriter.
–All participants must be prepared to use Rapunzel’s sound system, employing
a single omni mic, without monitors.
–Order-of-go will be determined by a draw on the evening of the contest, at
7:30pm. Once drawn, the order is non-negotiable. You need not be present for
the draw, but you MUST be present for whatever slot you receive; if you miss
your slot you will forfeit your entry!
–Winners will be determined and announced the night of the contest.

The deadline for entries is Tuesday, October 16. All entries must be
accompanied by THREE copies of the lyrics and the entry fee of $15. To enter,
you may pick up an entry form at Rapunzel’s. You may also mail in your payment,
lyrics, and the following information:

Songwriter’s name:
Title of Song:
Name of musician performing the song, if other than songwriter:
email and phone number:

Send to Rapunzel’s Songwriters Contest
PO Box 556
Lovingston VA 22949

Please make checks out to Rapunzel’s.

Rapunzel’s Coffee & Books
434-263-6660
www.rapunzelscoffee.com

Tuesday Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP, & Nelson County, VA : AM Mostly cloudy with showers – PM clearing?

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Grape Harvest At Delfosse
Faber, Virginia

Grape Harvest @ Delfosse
Above, the grapes are ripe for the picking at Delfosse Vineyard & Winery.

Monday started off as a beautiful day across Central Virginia. It was such a nice morning they were out picking the grapes at Delfosse Vineyard & Winery in Faber. In the picture above the Sauvignon Blanc is being harvested. Later today after being refrigerated all night the grapes will be pressed. Then it’s on for the rest of processing that will eventually end up as wine down the road! Cheers!

After some sunshine early in the day Monday we ended up with showers across much of the northern end of Nelson. We’ll have more rain today, especially early as a front moves through. Sunny skies returning midweek. A stronger but mainly dry front moves through by week’s end bringing in some much cooler air. By late in the weekend we will see afternoon highs in the low 70’s and overnight lows in the upper 40’s by next Monday morning.

Still watching a couple of other areas of interest below. There are two disturbances I’m watching for possible tropical storm development. Again too soon to know what they will do, but we’re keeping an eye on them and will you update accordingly throughout the week. The old storm #92 dissipated during the last 24 hours.
You can see #90 might head out of the gulf in our general direction by week’s end, the other toward the east coast perhaps. Just have to keep an eye on them.

The two areas of a low pressure (Invest 90 & 91) disturbances. 90 in the gulf and 91 out in the Atlantic.

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Monday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Mon High: 90.7° @ 3:32 PM
Trace” of rain as 9:00 PM

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Mon High: 78.6° @ 1:10 PM
0.20″ of rain as 9:00 PM

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Mon High: 93.4° @ 3:01 PM
0.00″ of rain as 9:00 PM

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Mon High: N/A° @ N/A PM
0.00″ of rain as 9:00 PM

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Mon High: 91.6° @ 3:47 PM
0.00″ of rain as 9:00 PM

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Mon High: N/A° @ N/A PM
0.00″ of rain as 9:00 PM

*Non-NCL Station @ Crozet, VA
Mon High: 89.2° @ 3:21 PM
0.79″ of rain as 9:00 PM

The National Forecast Map shows the cold front working south across Virginia today. Mostly cloudy skies with showers will persist for the first part of the day. Some clearing may occur before near dark. Any remaining showers will end in the early evening hours. The front stalls to our south, eventually returning as a warm front before a much stronger cold front arrives by the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Tuesday Scattered showers and thundershowers across 50% of the area. Some partial clearing late.
*High temps in Faber, Rockfish Gap & Wingina again around 84°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Scattered showers early partial clearing in the afternoon.
Highs top out around 78°
Winds becoming WSW 5-8 MPH

*Tonight Partly cloudy, showers ending. Patchy fog overnight.
*Lows valley around 58°
*On the mountains overnight low near 58° as well.
*Winds: SW 5-10 MPH

Wednesday Mostly sunny and pleasant.
*Highs valley around 83°
*On the mountains around 73°
Winds: NW-5 MPH becoming SW
*Wednesday night: Mostly clear Lows generally around 54 valley – upper 40’s mountains.
Winds: E-5 MPH then L & V

The remainder of the week Thursday looks mostly sunny with an afternoon high around 80° – light NE winds. Around 72° mountains. Overnight lows – around 60 valley & mid 50’s mountains. Partly sunny skies continue Friday with cooler temps mainly in the upper 70’s for daytime highs and overnight lows around 60.

By the weekend daytime highs remain in the upper 70’s Saturday cooling to mid 70’s by Sunday. Very minimal chances for rain. Overnight lows in the upper 40’s & lower 50’s valley – near same on the mountains.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Tuesday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

Breaking : Lovingston : Bomb Threat @ Middle School – scene cleared @ 5:45 PM EDT

Tommy
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5

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Photography by Yvette Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine – Copyright 2007
Nelson Middle School
Lovingston, Virginia
NMS-1

Updated: 5:45PM EDT
Nelson units have cleared the scene.
-T-

Updated: 5:07 PM EDT
VA State Police K-9 teams were seen along Routes 6 & 29 on the way to the school to begin searching.
-T-

Updated: 4:23 PM EDT

NCL has learned that a bomb threat has been received at the Nelson Middle School. Above is what the scene looked like around 4:00 PM EDT this afternoon. The threat was apparently received around the end of the school day.

In the photo above you can see students on the lawn out front. Area fire departments & law enforcement are on the scene assessing the situation. K-9 dogs are on the way to check as well.

More as we have it.
-T-

Monday Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, BRP & Nelson County, VA : Partly Sunny – PM Showers

Tommy
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0

REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST (PC users click play button twice)

Photography by Tommy Stafford
Nelson County Life Magazine : Copyright 2007
Veritas Starry Nights Finale for the 2007 Season
Afton, Virginia

Starry-Nights Finale
Above, the final Starry Nights bonfire of the season at Veritas Vineyard & Winery. This weekend signaled the end of the popular summer event.

What a great weekend across Nelson County and Central Virginia. Saturday night Veritas had its final Starry Nights for the 2007 season, it was a great evening with plenty of clear skies and pleasant temperatures. Not to worry Starry Nights 2008 will be back during the warm weather season next year!

Tropical Storm Gabrielle seen below is now on the way back out to sea. Unfortunately, it didn’t ever make it close enough to us to get any needed rainfall for the area. We do have a shot at some showers and thunderstorms over the coming week as a front makes it near the area later today and tonight before stalling out to our south and moving back north as a warm front. A secondary front pushes through the area later in the week giving us another chance for rain by Friday along with much cooler temps for daytime highs … we’re talking mid & upper 70’s.

Do want to bring your attention to a couple of other areas of interest below as well. There are two disturbances out in the Atlantic that I am watching for possible tropical storm development. Way, way too soon to know what they will do, but we’re keeping an eye on them and will you update accordingly throughout the week.

Tropical storm Gabrielle is headed out to sea and should not be a factor to as shown in the image below.

The two newest areas of a low pressure (Invest 91 & 92) disturbances out in the Atlantic.

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Sunday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Sun High: 89.2° @ 2:54 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Sun High: 83.7° @ 2:01 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Sun High: 91.6° @ 5:10 PM
0.00″ of rain>

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Sun High: N/A° @ 0:00 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Thurs High: 92.1° @ 4:35 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Thurs High: N/A° @ 0:00 PM
0.00″ of rain

The National Forecast Map shows a cold front approaching Virginia today. As the front nears our chances for thunderstorms increase this afternoon and tonight.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Monday Patchy early morning fog, then partly sunny with scattered thunderstorms developing across 30% of the area.
*High temps in Afton, Crozet & Colleen again around 85°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Partly sunny with scattered thunderstorms.
Highs top out around 73°
Winds becoming W-5 MPH

*Tonight Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
*Lows valley around 62°
*On the mountains warmer above – overnight low near 64°
*Winds: W-5 MPH becoming L & V

Tuesday Continued mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms across 40% of the area.
*Highs valley around 83°
*On the mountains around 75°
Winds: SW 5-10 MPH
*Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms across 30% of the area. Lows generally around 60 valley – upper 50’s mountains.
Winds: W-5 MPH then L & V

The remainder of the week Wednesday looks partly to mostly sunny with an afternoon high around 75° with light SSW winds. Around 71° mountains. Overnight lows – mid 50’s valley & low 50’s mountains. Chances for showers move back in the forecast by Friday. Temps mainly in the 70’s for daytime highs and overnight lows in the 50’s.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Monday!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

Weekend Weather Forecast : Wintergreen, The BRP & Nelson County, VA : Update 9-9-07 : 1:00 PM EDT Gabrielle & new tropical low pressure : watching

Tommy
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REFRESH Nelson County Life Magazine HERE for the latest updates:

Updated: 9-9-07 10:05 AM EDT For Subtropical Storm Gabrielle {SCROLL DOWN FOR UPDATED INFORMATION}
This storm should not be a factor in our weather locally here in Nelson. A frontal system moving our way from the west will affect our weather over the next several days starting late tonight into Monday when chances for rain and showers slowly increase. A complete wrap up in our Monday forecast out at 12:01 AM Monday.

This is the newest area of a low pressure (Invest 91) disturbance way out in the Atlantic. We are watching this for possible tropical storm development and direction over the next few days.

Animation of tropical storm Gabrielle off East Coast

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
1100 AM EDT SUN SEP 09 2007

…GABRIELLE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTH CAROLINA…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA…INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA
FOR THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES… 30 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR.
GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY AND
THEN TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF
GABRIELLE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS THIS
AFTERNOON AND THEN BACK OVER THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS…OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE AS GABRIELLE PASSES OVER THE OUTER BANKS TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA AS GABRIELLE PASSES OVER THE OUTER BANKS.

GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS AND SOUNDS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA…NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BORDER.

THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER THE OUTER
BANKS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION…34.7 N…76.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

-T-

Updated 9-8-07 7:44 AM EDT for Subtropical Storm Gabrielle formation in Atlantic:
From the National Hurricane Center, FL:

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
500 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2007

…GABRIELLE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET…INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT
315 MILES…505 KM…SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS GABRIELLE ACQUIRES
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM TO THE NORTH
OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB…29.85 INCHES.

GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA…WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…30.9 N…73.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1011 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER

I will have more on this Saturday after next advisory comes out at 8 AM EDT

Updated 9-7-07 9:40 PM EDT for possible tropical storm formation off Mid Atlantic Coast:
As of Friday evening Invest 99 shown below in the graphic image has gained 10 mph wind strength now to 45 MPH. There is some though it may reach tropical storm formation at any time.
At 5PM EDT the National Hurricane Center issued the following statement:

Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

000
WONT41 KNHC 072106
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
505 PM EDT FRI SEP 07 2007

THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST
HAS NOT YET IDENTIFIED A WELL-DEFINED CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION.
THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM…AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE AT ANY TIME AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE U.S. SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM…AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE
ISSUED THIS EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

I will be watching this over the next 24 hours to see what’s going on with it. Right now most models don’t have it affecting Central Virginia. I’m not so sure just yet. We will certainly get some rain from fronts headed our way early next week, but it remains to be seen what this low will do.

More Saturday.
-T-

Updated: 9-7-07 08:40 AM EDT : Continuing to watch for tropical storm development of low out in the Atlantic. Next 24-36 hours critical as to whether this turns into a fairly strong tropical storm..perhaps even a CAT 1 hurricane. Still a tad too early to know for sure, but keep checking today and throughout weekend as data is updated.
-T-

Weathercast by Tommy Stafford, Nelson County Life Magazine

NEW! AUDIO VERSION OF FORECAST

Photography by Heidi Crandall
For Nelson County Life Magazine – Copyright 2007
Brewery Tanks Arrive
Piney River, Virginia
Steve Checking

As you know we’ve been following the progress of Nelson’s two microbreweries that are opening within the next year or so. We first told you about Blue Mountain Brewery in Afton that opens next month. And a few weeks ago we told you about Steve Crandall’s progress. In that story the tanks were just leaving Japan on their way to Nelson. Thursday they made it! Steve and his crew offloaded the tanks for storage. Eventually they will be part of his microbrewery in Glen Mary Village on 664 in Beech Grove. The project is scheduled for completion in 2008. Can’t wait for the taste!

Possible tracks of low pressure area in the Atlantic.

The far red track is a possible scenario around Sunday into Monday, but it’s still too early to know exactly if this will continue to hold together. It would be great if we could get some rain from this, but again I am not convinced we’ll get anything. I’ll have more on this over the weekend as it develops.

The numbers as of 11:59 PM EDT Thursday night

*NCL-Nelson County Life Magazine : Greenfield / Afton, VA
Thurs High: 95.4° @ 4:05 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Nature Foundation : Devil’s Knob, VA
Thurs High: 83.5° @ 12:58 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Wintergreen Winery @ the foot of Wintergreen Mountain in Beech Grove, VA
Thurs High: 83.5° @ 12:58 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Delfosse Vineyard & Winery along Hickory Creek : Faber, VA
Thurs High: 93.9° @ 4:14 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Tiger Fuel – Lovingston, VA
Thurs High: 94.6° @ 4:25 PM
0.00″ of rain

*NCL-Mini Tara Vineyards : Arrington, VA
Thurs High: 89.4° @ 5:37 PM
0.00″ of rain

The National Forecast Map shows high pressure controlling our weather Friday into the first part of the weekend. By Saturday night the low pressure area I talked about above may begin to influence our weather with clouds spreading in from the east and southeast. By late Sunday night we may begin seeing showers developing and lingering into the middle part of next week as a couple of cold fronts take aim over the next several days. Again, this low pressure area may miss us all together. More info over the weekend.
Today’s Forecast Map

Local forecast
*Today Patchy early morning fog, then sunny & hot.
*High temps in Piney River, Greenwood & Arrington again around 93°
*On the mountains above 2000 feet along the BRP, Montebello, Wintergreen, Devil’s Knob, and Love, Sunny & Warm
Highs top out around 80°
Winds becoming SSW 4-6 MPH

*Tonight Clear & pleasant.
*Lows valley around 60°
*On the mountains overnight low near 57°
*Winds: SSE 2-4 MPH

Saturday Continued mostly sunny & warm.
*Highs valley around 90°
*On the mountains around 81°
Winds: ESE 3-5 MPH
*Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Lows generally around 65 valley – around 62 mountains.
Winds: SE Light

The remainder of the weekend looks mostly cloudy Sunday with an afternoon high around 85 with light NE winds. Around 80 mountains. Overnight lows – low 60’s valley & near 60 mountains. The chances for showers continues right into next Wednesday with afternoon highs generally in the mid & upper 80’s though the period, cooling to around 80 by Wednesday. Daytime highs may only reach the upper 70’s by late next week on Thursday & Friday.

Whenever or wherever severe weather or news breaks out, we’ll have the latest watches, warnings, and coverage affecting Nelson County, Wintergreen, and nearby counties.

Have a great Weekend!

Know your Nelson.COM
-T-

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